Category: Alternative policy scenario

HAS GOVERNMENT RUN OUT OF OPTIONS?

GST Council — the all powerful body that considers changes in the tax structure/rate — should consider inclusion of oil and gas products in the GST, putting them under the 18 per cent slab with the aim of eventually shifting them to the 12 per cent slab Some time back, three public sector undertakings (PSU) in the downstream oil segment viz Indian Oil Corporation (IOCL), Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited (HPCL) and Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited (BPCL) were reportedly directed not to hike the price of petrol and diesel by one rupee a litre each that had become necessary due to an increase in the international price of these products. The prices of these products were decontrolled (petrol in June 2010...
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Oil price puzzle – has government run out of options?

Reportedly, the three public sector undertakings [PSUs] in the downstream oil segment viz. Indian Oil Corporation [IOCL], Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited [HPCL] and Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited [BPCL] were directed not to give effect to hike in price of petrol and diesel by Rs 1 a liter each that had become necessary due to increase in the international price of these products. The prices of these products were decontrolled, petrol in June 2010 and diesel in November 2014 and since then, the oil PSUs set their prices on the basis of movement in their international price [using import parity price and export parity price in the 90:10 ratio]. Whereas, up to May 31, 2017, these were revised fortnightly, from June...
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Is India prepared for next oil shock?

The hike in price of diesel to a record Rs 61.74 per litre [Delhi] and petrol to a three year peak of Rs 71.18 per litre [Delhi] is a warning signal that the honeymoon period that India enjoyed for about three-and-a-half year beginning June 2014 may have come to an end. The prices of diesel and petrol broadly follow the movement in the international price of crude oil which India imports to meet around 82% of its requirements. The international price of crude oil declined from the peak of US$ 117 per barrel in June 2014 to a low of US$ 27 per barrel in February, 2016. During 2016, it increased slightly but still kept low at around US$ 40...
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Regulator for hydrocarbon sector – what is holding back?

At a FICCI seminar on ‘Unleashing India’s Domestic Exploration and Production Potential’, minister for petroleum and natural gas, Dharmendra Pradhan ruled out giving statutory powers to upstream oil and gas regulator Directorate General of Hydrocarbons [DGH]. He was responding to a suggestion made in a presentation by McKinsey that DGH should be given powers similar to the Securities and Exchange Board of India [SEBI] – an independent body which regulates the activities in securities market. DGH is a technical arm of the oil ministry which currently manages hydrocarbon resources, assists the government in auctioning oil and gas exploration fields and monitoring production sharing contracts [PSCs] – those are signed with private contractors who get the fields under the auction process....
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Gas business – what prompts RIL-BP take a re-look?

One-and-a-half decade ago, Reliance Industries Limited [RIL] had created history by announcing the biggest ever gas discovery in Krishna Godavari [KG] basin off the Andhra Pradesh coast with an estimated in-place reserve of 12 trillion cubic feet [tcf]. It started producing from its most prolific bloc KG-DWN-98/3 in 2009 with a promise to deliver 80 million standard cubic meter per day [mmscmd]. After reaching 69 mmscmd in March 2010, production started declining and the trend never got reversed. Currently, it produces only 7 mmscmd which is not even 1/10th of the promised quantity. The precipitous decline in production has remained shrouded in mystery even as the operator is entangled in four arbitration cases with Union Government over various aspects of...
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Gas – stop this obsession with higher price

Once again, Oil and Natural Gas Corporation [ONGC] – a Government of India [GOI] undertaking in the upstream oil and gas segment which accounts for over 70% of indigenous gas production of 80 million standard cubic meter per day [mmscmd] – has raised a hue and cry over the existing guidelines for pricing of natural gas. ONGC Chairman, Dinesh K Sarraf has argued that current natural gas price being significantly lower than the cost of production, for any company it does not make economic or commercial sense to invest in new fields or augmenting production from existing ones through fresh investment. He has requested ministry of petroleum and natural gas [MPNG] to review the existing domestic gas pricing formula and...
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RAISING ISSUES WITH GAS PRICING POLICY

The Government needs to re-look at the current pricing scheme for CBM production as it is not reaping returns. It must, instead, stick to extant formula-based guidelines The Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs (CCEA) has approved marketing and pricing freedom to contractors/producers of coal-bed methane (CBM), or natural gas from coal seams, to sell it at arms length price in the domestic market. To discover arms length price, a contractor has to now follow a fully transparent and competitive bidding process from amongst users “with the objective that the best possible price is realised for the gas without any restrictive commercial practices”. This decision has come in response to a scenario, whereby producers such as, Reliance Industries Limited (RIL) and...
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Gas pricing – stop that policy drift

The Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs [CCEA] has approved marketing and pricing freedom to contractors/producers of coal-bed methane [CBM] – or natural gas from coal seams – to sell it at arms length price in the domestic market. To discover arms length price, a contractor has to follow a fully transparent and competitive bidding process from amongst users “with the objective that the best possible price is realized for the gas without any restrictive commercial practices”. In the event, he cannot identify any buyer, sale can be made to any of its affiliates. Royalty and other dues to the government, however, shall be payable on the basis of Petroleum Planning & Analysis Cell (PPAC) notified prices or selling prices, whichever...
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Impending oil shock – expedite subsidy reforms

After protracted battle within the bloc [as also with countries outside], members of the Organization for Petroleum Exporting Countries [OPEC] – a conglomeration of oil exporting nations from the middle east – have agreed to reduce their combined output by about 1.2 million barrels a day. Likewise, 11 non-OPEC countries led by Russia have decided to knock off over 500,000 barrels from their supplies. The agreement is effective from January 1, 2017. The agreement has to be viewed in the backdrop of a steep decline in the international price of crude oil from the peak of US$ 117 per barrel in June 2014 to a low of US$ 27 per barrel in February, 2016. During the current calendar, even though...
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Keep gas pricing formula-driven

On October 1, 2016, the Indian Government reduced the price of domestic gas by 18% to US$ 2.78 per million British thermal units [mBtu] on a net calorific value [NCV] basis. The public sector Oil and Natural Gas Corporation and Oil India Limited raised a hue and cry saying this is even lower than their cost of production at US$ 3.59 per mBtu/US$ 3.06 per mBtu. They want a “floor” below which the price should not be allowed to go. Their demand is flawed. Under the guidelines for domestic gas pricing in vogue since November 1, 2014, the price of this gas was based on a weighted average of prices at four global locations viz., Henry Hub [USA], NBP [National...
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