While some of the relief measures announced by the FM are just financial jugglery, the remaining items offer some concrete benefits to the poor In his address to the nation on March 19, Prime Minister Narendra Modi announced the setting up of an Economic Response Task Force (ERTF) under the Union Finance Minister (FM), Nirmala Sitharaman to come up with a package of measures to alleviate the problems faced by industries, sectors, businesses and workers due to the economic disruption caused by Covid-19. The most seriously affected sectors, such as aviation, transport, hospitality, tourism, retail, micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs), are looking for a host of concessions such as additional interest subvention (for instance, MSMEs are demanding three-five per...
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Category: Economic outlook
Fiscal burden of Corona
In a span of less than a week, there have been three sets of official announcements enumerating the measures to alleviate the problems faced by industries, businesses and workers due to the economic disruption caused by Covid – 19. The first two were made by the Finance Minister [FM], Nirmala Sitharaman on March 24 and 26, 2020 and the third by the Governor, Reserve Bank of India [RBI], Shaktikanta Das on March 27, 2020. On March 24, 2020, FM announced reliefs for the industries and businesses, which are largely ‘procedural’. These include extending the date for filing returns [income-tax, GST, customs, excise and statutory filings under Companies Act], reducing interest chargeable on delayed payments, exemption from penalty, increasing threshold of...
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Stop using fuel taxes as milch cow
High excise duty and VAT on fuel results in high inflation, higher subsidy payments on fertilisers, food, etc, and low international competitiveness of Indian goods. Centre is desperate to grab any opportunity available to garner additional revenue. Therefore, it has hiked the duty. ———————————————————————————————— In the wake of widespread destruction of demand triggered by Covid-19, failure of OPEC and non-OPEC suppliers to agree to a production cut, and the two front-line exporters from the respective groups viz. Saudi Arabia and Russia vying to capture the shrinking market, the price of crude oil has plunged to less than $30 per barrel. Leveraging this, in sync with its past practice of mopping up the oil bonanza, the Modi government has yet again...
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Corona attack on Union’s fragile finances
In his address to the nation on March 19, 2020, Prime Minister, Narendra Modi announced the setting up of an Economic Response Task Force [ERTF] under the union finance minister, Nirmala Sitharaman to come up with a package of measures to alleviate the problems industries, sectors, businesses and workers are facing due to the economic disruption caused by Covid – 19. The nerve shattering Covid – 19 has come at a time when the union government is facing a huge shortfall of about Rs 200,000 crore in the tax collection vis-à-vis even the revised estimate [RE] of Rs 1400,000 crore for 2019-20 [when compared to budget estimate, the shortfall is much higher at Rs 400,000 crore] and staring at substantial...
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A system failure
The bailout given to Yes Bank, using public money, emboldens banks to continue with their game plan. The Govt and the RBI must do everything to give a body blow to this attitude Much before the crisis at the beleaguered Yes Bank reached a flashpoint [when the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on March 5, 2020, superseded its Board, appointed ex-Chief Finance Officer (CFO) of the State Bank of India (SBI) as its administrator and imposed a moratorium for a month on critical operations such as sanction of fresh loan, renewal of existing loans, Rs 50,000 ceiling on withdrawal of money per account] some depositors had already sensed it coming. They withdrew about Rs 18,000 crore during the first six...
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Stop using fuel taxes as milch cow
Within a couple of months of beginning his first term, Modi was conferred with oil bonanza. The international price of crude oil [India depends on import for meeting over 80% of its requirement] had moved on a downward trajectory from a peak of US$ 117 per barrel in November 2014 to US$ 28 per barrel in January 2016. The government mopped up a major slice of this reduction by increasing the central excise duty [CED] on petrol from Rs 9.8 per litre to Rs 21.5 per litre and on diesel from Rs 3.8 per litre to Rs 17.3 per litre [the hike was given effect to in as many as 9 rounds]. After January 2016, the crude price increased gradually...
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Caught in a cleft stick
Though Govt policy disallowed e-commerce platform owners from direct selling, the fine print permitted them to do so through a subsidiary or JV. And they have been doing so Any announcement of foreign direct investment (FDI) is normally welcome in view of its contribution to capital formation, accelerating economic growth and adding to the foreign exchange kitty. Deviating from this normal practice, last month, the Union Minister for Commerce and Industry, Piyush Goyal was dismissive about the decision of the Amazon boss to bring a few billion dollars into India. He felt that Jeff Bezos was bringing money to make up for the huge loss the company was incurring in its operations in the country. Losses or gains are intrinsic to any...
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Yes Bank saga – it’s a system failure
Much before the crisis at the beleaguered Yes Bank reached a flash point [when the banking regulator, Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on March 5, 2020, superseded its Board, appointed ex-chief finance officer (CFO) of the State Bank of India [SBI] as its administrator and imposed moratorium for a month on critical operations such as sanction of fresh loan, renewal of existing loans, Rs 50,000/- ceiling on withdrawal of money per account] some depositors had already sensed it coming. They withdrew about Rs 18,000 crore during the first six months of current year [deposits declined from Rs 227,000 crore as on March 31, 2019 to Rs 209,000 crore as on September 30, 2019]; of this, Rs 16,000 crore were withdrawn...
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Telecom industry on the brink; Trai, banks need to play proper role
In an order delivered on October 24, 2019, the Supreme Court (SC) directed the telecom service providers (TSPs) to pay ‘unpaid’ dues towards license fee and spectrum usage charges (SUC) to the department of telecommunication (DoT). In doing so, the SC accepted DoT’s interpretation that adjusted gross revenue (AGR) (license fee and SUC is charged as a percentage of AGR) includes – apart from telecom services revenue – revenue from non-telecom services such as rent, profit on the sale of fixed assets, dividend, interest etc. Given the inherent character of the order with focus on including revenue from non-telecom services as well, it requires even companies such as Gas Authority of India Limited etc (they had taken licenses for setting up their...
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Fiscal slippage: The denial syndrome
Despite the govt window dressing numbers, it is expected to exceed FY20’s fiscal deficit target. Reforms are urgently needed to improve the Budget’s financial health. In the Union Budget for FY21, finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman revised the fiscal deficit (FD) for FY20 to 3.8% of GDP—up from the budget estimate (BE) of 3.3%. In absolute terms, the RE is Rs 7.66 lakh crore, against a BE of Rs 7 lakh crore. Sitharaman explained away the slippage by invoking the recommendations of the NK Singh committee on review of the Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management (FRBM) Act, which permits breach of the target in case of “far reaching structural reforms with unanticipated fiscal implications”. The justification is untenable as, during the...
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