Category: Economic outlook

Global corporate minimum tax – a flawed idea

The Biden administration is giving a big push for a global corporate minimum tax (GCMT) rate under the new international tax rules being coordinated by it with G20 countries. In 2017, the erstwhile Trump administration had introduced the U.S. corporate offshore minimum tax called “Global Intangible Low-Taxed Income (GILTI)”. It is applied on the offshore income of US multinationals (MNCs) having subsidiaries in low-tax countries @ 10.5% which is half the domestic corporate tax rate (DCTR) of 21%. Biden wants to double GILTI to 21% and correspondingly increase the DCTR to 28%. The US move is prompted by a tendency among MNCs (US companies included) to register in low-tax countries such as Singapore, Mauritius, Ireland etc and show their revenue...
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What’s ailing PSUs’ sale?

The PM will do well to ‘debureaucratise’ the process of running CPSUs. This should be done even before privatisation is taken up The process of disinvestment needs to be unshackled. Against the `210,000 crore target set for disinvestment proceeds from Central Public Sector Undertakings (CPSUs) in FY21, the actual realisation was just about `32,000 crore. Even as the Centre may explain it away as ‘corona pandemic effect’, the prospects in FY22, when the economy is expected to register high growth, don’t seem much better. For this year, the target for speaks for itself. Finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman has fixed the target for FY22 at `175,000 crore, substantially lower than year before. This is despite adding two public sector banks (PSBs)...
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Nix sovereign guarantee clause for the NaBFID

To bail out an entity majority-owned and controlled by private parties using the taxpayers’ funds is a bad idea In her Budget speech, Finance Minister (FM) Nirmala Sitharaman had proposed setting up of a new Development Financial Institution (DFI) termed the National Bank for Financing Infrastructure and Development (NaBFID). The Government passed a Bill to establish the NaBFID, its objective being “to coordinate with the Centre and States, regulators, financial institutions (FIs), institutional investors and other relevant stakeholders, in India or outside India, to facilitate building and improving the relevant institutions to support the development of long-term non-recourse infrastructure financing in India, including the domestic bonds and derivatives markets.” The NaBFID will also be involved “in lending or investing, directly or indirectly,...
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NaBFID – drop sovereign guarantee clause

In her Budget speech for 2021-22, the Finance Minister (FM), Nirmala Sitharaman had proposed setting up of a new Development Financial Institution (DFI) termed the National Bank for Financing Infrastructure and Development (NaBFID). In the following month, it passed a bill to establish the NaBFID, its objective being “to coordinate with the central and state governments, regulators, financial institutions (FIs), institutional investors and other relevant stakeholders, in India or outside India, to facilitate building and improving the relevant institutions to support the development of long-term non-recourse infrastructure financing in India including the domestic bonds and derivatives markets”. The NaBFID will also be involved “in lending or investing, directly or indirectly, and seek to attract investments from private sector investors and...
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Scrappage policy can be more attractive

Announcing a ‘voluntary’ vehicle scrappage policy in the Lok Sabha on March 18, Union Minister Nitin Gadkari listed its numerous benefits, such as doubling the turn-over of the Indian automobile industry from the present Rs 4.5 lakh crore to Rs 10 lakh crore, the salutary effect on environment due to mitigation of vehicular pollution, a reduction in fuel consumption and fuel import bill, job creation, increased safety on the roads, reining in input costs for industries such as automobile, steel, electronics, etc., increase in GST collection, and so on. Currently, there are 5.1 million vehicles in India which are more than 20 years old, 3.4 million that are between 15 and 20 years old, and 1.7 million vehicles older than...
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Bank fraud: No fetters on CBI, please!

A sweeping order that the CBI will look only at frauds involving a certain amount, or higher, will send out a wrong signal. It is tantamount to glossing over the wrongdoings Even as the Government is making all efforts to ensure that the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) — after witnessing 8 per cent contraction during 2020-21— returns to a high growth trajectory, it is concerned about the tepid recovery in credit availability which is considered to be the sine qua non of growth. According to the latest data by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), the annual non-food bank credit growth in January this year was at 5.7 per cent compared to 8.5 per cent in the same period last...
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Bank frauds – no fetters on CBI please

Even as the Government is making all out efforts to ensure that the GDP (gross domestic product) – after contracting by 8% during 2020-21  – returns to a high growth trajectory, it is concerned at the tepid recovery in credit availability which is considered to be the sine qua non of growth. According to the latest data of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) annualized non-food bank credit growth in January this year was slower at 5.7% compared to 8.5% in the same period last year. Credit to industry, however, contracted by 1.3% in January 2021 as compared to 2.5% growth in January 2020. A major (perceived) bottleneck is the reluctance of bank officials to sanction loans who fear they...
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Vehicle scrapping needs more incentives

If the owner goes for scrapping, he is promised a total benefit of 11per cent, including scrap compensation of nearly five per cent, discount five per cent and one per cent rebate in road tax On March 18, 2021, Union Minister for Road Transport and Highways Nitin Gadkari announced in the Lok Sabha a “voluntary” vehicle scrapping policy which will lay the foundation for what he termed the “Voluntary Vehicle Fleet Modernisation Programme” and enable the Indian automobile industry to more than double its turnover from the current Rs 450,000 crore to Rs 10,00,000 crore in a few years. Besides, it will have a salutary effect on environment due to the mitigated vehicular pollution. Apart from it, other benefits are...
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Vehicle scrappage policy – more incentives needed

On March 18, 2021, the Union Minister for road, transport and highways  Nitin Gadkari announced in the Lok Sabha a ‘voluntary’ vehicle scrappage policy which will lay the foundation for what he terms as “the Voluntary Vehicle Fleet Modernization Program and enable Indian automobile industry to more than double its turnover from the present Rs 450,000 crore crore to Rs 1000,000 crore in a few years. Besides, this will have a salutary effect on environment due to mitigated vehicular pollution. Other benefits are expected by way of reduction in fuel consumption (as old vehicles get replaced by more fuel efficient new ones) and cut in import bill; boost to inclusive development as investment flows into setting up of scrapping and...
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Stop the back door bailout of banks

Why not give the capital directly from the Budget instead of following a circuitous route, setting up new institutions and adding to administrative and overhead costs? In the Union Budget for 2021-22, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman has proposed setting up of a bad bank. Crafted as an asset reconstruction company (ARC), it will bundle up all the non-performing assets (NPAs) of banks, buy these at a negotiated (albeit discounted) price and sell them to investors such as private equity funds, alternative investment funds (AIFs) and so on, by putting a turnaround plan in place. An asset management company (AMC) will work on a detailed turnaround-cum-execution plan. The banks plan to transfer nearly Rs 2,00,000 crore of bad loans to the ARC. Every...
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