Category: Money, inflation & interest rate

Concerns over persistent food price volatility and the need for economic growth support have prompted the Reserve Bank of India to keep its options open On October 9, 2024, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor Shaktikanta Das announced the decisions taken by the six-member Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) in its fourth bi-monthly meeting of the current financial year (FY). It has kept the policy rate (the interest rate at which the RBI lends to banks) unchanged at 6.5 per cent. However, it has altered its policy stance from “withdrawal of accommodation” to a neutral stance. In 2016, the Union Government put in place an institutionalised framework to enable the MPC to formulate monetary policy and determine the key interest...

The RBI’s dividend transfer provides a substantial fiscal cushion to the cash-strapped Government, but it must be prudent in fiscal management and resource allocation In the amendment to the Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management (FRBM) Act through the Finance Bill 2018-19 (the amendment was based on the recommendations of Dr N K Singh’s committee mandated to review the FRBM Act (2003)), the Modi – the Government had pledged to achieve fiscal deficit or FD (excess of total expenditure over total receipts) of 3 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP) by the FY 2020-21. Following the Corona pandemic that played havoc with the economy leading to plunging revenue and ballooning expenditure during 2020-21 and the resultant zooming of FD to...

RBI’s commitment to ‘last-mile disinflation’ has prompted a continued tight monetary policy stance, raising questions about its impact on economic growth On April 5, 2024, announcing the decisions taken by the six-member Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) in its first bi-monthly meeting of the current financial year (FY), Governor Shaktikanta Das observed “The elephant has now gone out for a walk and appears to be returning to the forest. We would like the elephant to return to the forest and remain there on a durable basis,” Das was using the elephant analogy to characterise the trajectory of retail inflation as represented by the Consumer Price Index (CPI). Having scaled to a high of 7.8 per cent in April 2022, CPI has...

RBI’s decision to keep the policy rate unchanged could pose a serious risk to growth due to a rise in lending rates and higher-cost of loans to industries The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) six-member Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) on December 8, 2023, decided to keep the policy rate (the interest rate at which the RBI lends to banks) unchanged at 6.5 per cent. The MPC has also said that the actions of the RBI will remain “actively disinflationary”. The decision is a continuation of a trend wherein the RBI has been overly obsessed with the management of inflation and aggressively used the two prime monetary policy instruments in its armoury namely the policy rate and liquidity (a jargon for...

As per the information given by the Ministry of Finance (MoF) in Parliament, during the last nine years, scheduled commercial banks (SCBs) have undertaken an aggregate recovery of Rs 10,16,617 crore of loans that had gone bad or non-performing assets (NPAs) as these are called in banking parlance. In reply to a question given in the lower house, Minister of state for finance Bhagwat Karad informed that “Comprehensive measures have been taken by the Government and RBI to recover and  to reduce NPAs, including those pertaining to corporate companies”. These include  the 2016 Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC), and the establishment of the National Asset Reconstruction Company Limited (NARCL),  among other measures. At banks’ level, the efforts involve early recognition...

PSL is a legacy of the socialist era. It creates distortion in credit flows, keeps bank officials busy with target fulfillment and is prone to blatant misuse  Lenders, especially foreign banks have decided to undertake a comprehensive analysis of “sustainable finance” under the aegis of the Indian Banks’ Association (IBA) to make out a case for granting priority-sector lending (PSL) status to such financing for consideration by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). Globally, “sustainable finance” is broadly defined as any form of financial product/service that promotes environmental, social and governance purposes while contributing to the achievement of relevant targets adopted by countries under frameworks, including the Paris Agreement on climate and the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) set by the...

The government should strengthen mechanisms to give a fair deal to MSMEs According to a joint report by ASSOCHAM and Crisil Ratings, gross non-performing assets (NPAs) – an acronym for loans that have gone bad – of banks have declined by 0.9 to less than 5 per cent during the financial year ending March 31, 2023, and are expected to decline by another 1 per cent to a decadal low of less than 4 per cent by March 31, 2024. In respect of loans given to the corporate sector, gross NPAs are expected to be less than 2 per cent by March 31, 2024, down from a peak of 16 per cent as on March 31, 2018. The public sector...