Reportedly, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has recommended to the Government of India (GOI) reduction in the shareholding of the latter in six top public sector banks (PSBs) viz. State Bank of India (SBI), Punjab National Bank (PNB), Bank of Baroda (BOB), Canara Bank, Union Bank of India (UBI) and Bank of India (BOI) to 51% in the next 12-18 months. In a recent meeting, the RBI had suggested reduction in GOI stake to 26% in PSBs. But, for now, its recommendation is to cut the stake to 51%. Given its precarious financial position (courtesy, Covid – 19), the union government is exploring all possible avenues for increasing revenue. In this larger perspective, it is looking to monetize its...
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Category: Growth & employment
Bailout or blowout?
When the wheels of the economy on ground zero are stuck and there is little demand for credit, lowering of interest rates will not help in any way Following marathon deliberations of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) over three days, the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI’s) Governor, Shaktikanta Das, made four important announcements under the central bank’s bi-monthly monetary policy review on August 6. First, Das warned that India’s real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth is set to contract in 2020-21 but did not give a specific forecast. He also cautioned that “while an early containment of the Covid-19 pandemic may impart an upside to the outlook, a more protracted spread of the pandemic, deviations from the forecast of a normal monsoon...
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Is India ready to tame global tech giants
Global technology companies such as Google, Facebook, Amazon, and Apple have been under the radar of governments in many countries for trying to steamroll competition by either buying their competitors (even if that meant spending mammoth sums) or pushing other vendors to avoid working with them. In June 2019, the US Congress and an antitrust panel of the House Judiciary Committee began a probe into the nature and working of the aforementioned big 4 who together have market capitalization of US$ 5 trillion. Based on collected documents and testimonies from workers of these firms and from rivals (it collected 1.3 million documents), prima facie the panel inferred that they had tried to push them out of the market using unfair...
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Policy rate – stop its downward march
Unlike his predecessors (read: Raghuram Rajan: 2013 – 2016 and Urjit Patel: 2016 – 2018) who used changes in the policy rate – interest rate charged by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on loans it gives to banks – primarily as an instrument of targeting inflation, the incumbent governor, Shaktikanta Das has used it mainly for spurring economic growth but without much success. Das – a former economic affairs secretary – who took charge in December 2018 after untimely exit of Urjit Patel handed out a cumulative reduction of 1.35% during 2019. As a consequence, the rate was down to 5.15%. In the wake of deadly Corona virus, just after the first phase of lockdown announced by Prime Minister,...
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The case for a 15% tax rate for India Inc
A uniform tax rate of 15% (17.1% with add-ons) will, among other things, minimise tax litigation that arises largely due to multiple interpretations of a plethora of exemptions and deductions in tax legislation. Besides that, exemptions/incentives make the Indian law cumbersome to a point whereby it makes any prospective investor scary. A major factor affecting India’s ability to attract foreign investment for long has been the high rate of corporate tax. In 2018-19, the rate of tax on domestic companies was 30%. Including surcharge and cess, the total tax incidence is 34.9%. This made India an outlier as the corporate tax rate in other countries is much lower; for example, the US (21%), the OECD average (21.4%), China (25%), Vietnam...
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SC will have to solve the telco mess
A cue is available from the stance taken by SC itself in case of unpaid dues from public sector undertakings (PSUs) such as Gas Authority of India (GAIL), etc. The licence fee and SUC is charged as a percentage of service provider’s adjusted gross revenue (AGR)—8% and 3-5% respectively. During the last three years or so, the telecom industry has been enduring an unprecedented crisis, with most of the companies having huge debt in their books and not generating adequate cash flows for servicing the loans. The crisis was aggravated by an order of the Supreme Court (SC) on October 24, 2019, directing telecom firms to pay ‘unpaid’ dues towards licence fee and spectrum usage charges (SUC). The licence fee...
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Telecom mess – onus is on the regulator
Addressing the company’s annual general meeting on August 12, 2019, Chairman, Reliance Industries Limited (RIL), Mukesh Ambani had announced a road-map for Reliance to become a net debt-free company before March 31, 2021. That was the time when, the telecom industry was passing through an unprecedented crisis with most of the companies having huge debt in their books and not generating adequate cash flows for servicing the loans (Reliance Jio – the telecommunication unit of the conglomerate – was the lone exception). The crisis was aggravated by an order of the Supreme Court (SC) on October 24, 2019 directing telecom companies to pay ‘unpaid’ dues towards license fee and spectrum usage charges [SUC]. The order was the culmination of a...
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Corporate India – tax all @15%
A major factor affecting the competitiveness of Indian industries and India’s ability to attract foreign investment for long has been the high rate of corporate tax. In 2018-19, the rate of tax on domestic companies was 30%; including surcharge and cess, the effective incidence worked out to 34.9%. Given that the corporate tax rate in other countries viz. US (21%), OECD average (21.4%), China (25%), Vietnam (20%), Thailand (20%), Singapore (17%) etc, was much lower, this made India a sort of outlier when seen from the perspective of a potential investor looking for investment opportunities. Though, the Income Tax (IT) law provides for a spate of exemptions and incentives which facilitates reduction in the tax liability, the effective incidence continues...
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Moratorium – no guarantee for interest waiver
On March 27, 2020, the Reserve Bank of India [RBI] governor, Shaktikanta Das announced a comprehensive action plan to resuscitate the economy devastated by the Corona virus. Apart from measures to inject liquidity in the financial system, increase in availability of credit and reduce the cost of capital, the plan sought to ease the stress of loan repayments on businesses and individuals. Amongst others, this includes 3-month moratorium on payment of installments in respect of all term loans outstanding on March 31, 2020. Even as the lockdown continued much longer than it was initially envisaged [there were three extensions after the first phase announced by Prime Minister, Modi on March 24, 2020] on May 22, 2020, the governor announced extension...
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Much ado about nothing
Faced with a steep decline in its revenue and increase in expenditure commitment, the Modi Government has opted for a package which is dependent on loans After a long wait of about seven weeks, since the nationwide lockdown began on March 25, Prime Minister Narendra Modi announced the ‘Atmanirbhar Bharat Abhiyan’, a special package of Rs 20,00,000 crore, about 10 per cent of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP), to revive the economy. Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman unveiled the details in five tranches during press conferences held between May 13 and 17. The package aims at giving relief to all strata of society impacted by the sudden stoppage of economic activities viz. farmers, workers, migrant labourers, micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs), vendors,...
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