The Corona pandemic may have brought about sharp deceleration in India’s economic growth – the sharpest ever during the last 4 decades or so – but has yielded a bonanza for the investors. The wealth of investors in the stock market as represented by the market capitalization of Indian equities (market value of shares multiplied by their number) almost doubled from around Rs 113 trillion (a trillion equals 100,000 crore) as on March 31, 2020 to Rs 226 trillion as on March 31, 2021. In contrast, India’s GDP at current prices declined from Rs 203 trillion during 2019-20 to Rs 197 trillion during 2020-21. As a result, the market capitalization to GDP ratio almost doubled from 56% during 2019-20 to...
More
Comments are closed
Category: Growth & employment
Person in control: New entity in charge
SEBI wants to shift focus from promoters to controlling shareholders or the so-called ‘person in control’ (PIC), but is the new breed willing to take charge? Paving the way for a major change in the way the promoters and over 4,700 listed corporates function in the country, in a consultation paper, the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) has proposed doing away with the concept of promoters and moving to ‘person in control’ (a three-year transition is recommended for the switch over). It has also suggested doing away with the current definition of promoter group with a view to rationalize the disclosure burden. The other proposals include (i) reducing the minimum lock-in period(the time period an investor can hold on...
More
Comments are closed
‘Person in control’ in lieu of ‘promoter’
Paving the way for a major change in the way the promoters and over 4,700 listed corporate function in the country, in a consultation paper, the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) has proposed doing away with the concept of promoters and moving to ‘person in control’ (a three-year transition is recommended for the switch over); It has also suggested doing away with the current definition of promoter group with a view to rationalize the disclosure burden and bring it in line with post-issue disclosure requirement. The other proposals include (i) reducing the minimum lock-in period (the time period an investor can hold on to the shares) post an initial public offer (IPO) for promoters’ share of minimum 20%...
More
Comments are closed
Nix sovereign guarantee clause for the NaBFID
To bail out an entity majority-owned and controlled by private parties using the taxpayers’ funds is a bad idea In her Budget speech, Finance Minister (FM) Nirmala Sitharaman had proposed setting up of a new Development Financial Institution (DFI) termed the National Bank for Financing Infrastructure and Development (NaBFID). The Government passed a Bill to establish the NaBFID, its objective being “to coordinate with the Centre and States, regulators, financial institutions (FIs), institutional investors and other relevant stakeholders, in India or outside India, to facilitate building and improving the relevant institutions to support the development of long-term non-recourse infrastructure financing in India, including the domestic bonds and derivatives markets.” The NaBFID will also be involved “in lending or investing, directly or indirectly,...
More
Comments are closed
NaBFID – drop sovereign guarantee clause
In her Budget speech for 2021-22, the Finance Minister (FM), Nirmala Sitharaman had proposed setting up of a new Development Financial Institution (DFI) termed the National Bank for Financing Infrastructure and Development (NaBFID). In the following month, it passed a bill to establish the NaBFID, its objective being “to coordinate with the central and state governments, regulators, financial institutions (FIs), institutional investors and other relevant stakeholders, in India or outside India, to facilitate building and improving the relevant institutions to support the development of long-term non-recourse infrastructure financing in India including the domestic bonds and derivatives markets”. The NaBFID will also be involved “in lending or investing, directly or indirectly, and seek to attract investments from private sector investors and...
More
Comments are closed
Bank fraud: No fetters on CBI, please!
A sweeping order that the CBI will look only at frauds involving a certain amount, or higher, will send out a wrong signal. It is tantamount to glossing over the wrongdoings Even as the Government is making all efforts to ensure that the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) — after witnessing 8 per cent contraction during 2020-21— returns to a high growth trajectory, it is concerned about the tepid recovery in credit availability which is considered to be the sine qua non of growth. According to the latest data by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), the annual non-food bank credit growth in January this year was at 5.7 per cent compared to 8.5 per cent in the same period last...
More
Comments are closed
Bank frauds – no fetters on CBI please
Even as the Government is making all out efforts to ensure that the GDP (gross domestic product) – after contracting by 8% during 2020-21 – returns to a high growth trajectory, it is concerned at the tepid recovery in credit availability which is considered to be the sine qua non of growth. According to the latest data of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) annualized non-food bank credit growth in January this year was slower at 5.7% compared to 8.5% in the same period last year. Credit to industry, however, contracted by 1.3% in January 2021 as compared to 2.5% growth in January 2020. A major (perceived) bottleneck is the reluctance of bank officials to sanction loans who fear they...
More
Comments are closed
Vehicle scrappage policy – more incentives needed
On March 18, 2021, the Union Minister for road, transport and highways Nitin Gadkari announced in the Lok Sabha a ‘voluntary’ vehicle scrappage policy which will lay the foundation for what he terms as “the Voluntary Vehicle Fleet Modernization Program and enable Indian automobile industry to more than double its turnover from the present Rs 450,000 crore crore to Rs 1000,000 crore in a few years. Besides, this will have a salutary effect on environment due to mitigated vehicular pollution. Other benefits are expected by way of reduction in fuel consumption (as old vehicles get replaced by more fuel efficient new ones) and cut in import bill; boost to inclusive development as investment flows into setting up of scrapping and...
More
Comments are closed
Reinvigorating growth: Where is the money?
The FM wants to boost growth, but it will be at the cost of fiscal de-stabilisation. One is not sure whether a sustained, rapid surge will come as a huge resource gap remains Taking a cue from the prescription that the Chief Economic Advisor (CEA), Krishnamurthy Subramanian gave in the Economic Survey: 2020-21 that “the Government should come up with more fiscal measures for short-term support to the economy and businesses”, Finance Minister (FM) Nirmala Sitharaman has gone ahead with some “big bang” measures. She has not just attempted to give a boost to industries and businesses in the short-term but has also given an indication of her intent to put them on a high growth trajectory in the medium to...
More
Comments are closed
Paratroop reforms on the ground
Of crucial importance is the need to actually execute reforms and make them work on ground zero. Unfortunately, this is not happening Unlike the Economic Survey for 2019-20, which was prepared keeping in mind the ambitious target of achieving a $5 trillion economy by 2024-25, this time around, the overarching theme revolves around demonstrating how brilliantly the Government has managed the Coronavirus pandemic. Through lucid elaboration on the details and modeling with facts and figures — using international as well as inter-State comparison within India, Chief Economic Adviser (CEA) Krishnamurthy Subramanian has given ample justification for the “early” and “stringent” lockdown from March and thereafter calibrated lifting of restrictions from June onward. Tacitly, he has also admitted that this led to compression...
More
Comments are closed