The shift from giving food at Rs 2/3/1 per kg to “free” would lead to an additional outgo of about Rs 13,000 crore In the Union Budget for 2023–24, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman has stuck to the fiscal deficit (FD) target of 6.4 per cent of GDP in the revised estimate for 2022–23. She has kept the target for 2023–24 at 5.9 per cent. However, payments on major subsidies such as fertilisers and food, which account for a significant share of the Union government’s total expenditure, could play spoiler. Fertiliser subsidy—payments made to manufacturers or importers to cover the excess of the cost of production/import and distribution of fertilisers over the low maximum retail price (MRP) fixed by the government—was budgeted...
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Category: Fiscal deficit/subsidies
Off-budget liabilities return in Budget ’23
Unless PM Modi cracks the whip on reforms in food and fertiliser subsidy, such liabilities will haunt economy In Budget 2020-21, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman candidly acknowledged the existence of the so-called off-budget liabilities and extra-budgetary resources (EBRs) and mentioned these in an annexure. EBRs are those financial liabilities or borrowings that are raised by public sector undertakings (PSUs) and other agencies of the government to fund latter’s schemes for which repayment of entire principal and interest is done from its Budget. If all obligations pertaining to the borrowings are met by the Union government then why does it not take these on its own balance sheet (BS) instead of riding piggyback on its agencies/PSUs? The reason is by not...
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Budget 2023: Fertiliser, food subsidies can upset fiscal math
Higher cost of production due to the elevated cost of gas could increase the subsidy outgo on fertilisers during 2023-24 as would the extension of the free foodgrain scheme beyond December 2023 Fertiliser subsidy outgo during 2022-23 is estimated to be around Rs 2.25 lakh crore against a budget estimate (BE) of Rs 1.05 lakh crore. In the Budget for 2023-24, finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman informed that the government was set to achieve the fiscal deficit target of 6.4 percent of the gross domestic product (GDP) for the financial year 2022-23. This was despite substantial slippages in the expenditure on fertilisers and food subsidies. Fertiliser subsidy outgo during 2022-23 is estimated to be around Rs 2.25 lakh crore against a budget...
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Budget 2023 targets inclusive growth
The Finance Minister has given a push to growth through a judicious blend of encouraging investment and consumption Guided by the overriding objective of laying the foundation of putting India on a rapid and sustainable growth trajectory, for three years in a row, the Narendra Modi government has presented an investment-led Budget. Most of the budgetary allocations are going into building infrastructure, while the government has taken measures to promote investment by the private sector. The Budget for 2023-24 continues with this overarching strategy. In her maiden Budget for 2019-20, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman had laid a roadmap for catapulting the Indian economy to $5 trillion by 2024-25. In sync with this target, she had projected an investment requirement of...
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Tax surge a cushion to bear hit from subsidies
But tax collection buoyancy has been slowing down since the last year, which calls for tightening slippages In the past, a shortfall in tax receipts of the Union government vis-à-vis the budget estimate (BE) and excess of expenditure over BE led to high fiscal deficit (FD) year after year. To rein in FD, it often took recourse to non-tax receipts such as dividend from public sector undertakings (PSUs), proceeds from selling government shares in one PSU to another, transfer of surplus by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), proceeds from sale of spectrum for telecom services, etc. This was unsustainable as reliance on non-tax receipts is unreliable. For instance, dividend from a PSU depends on a host of factors specific...
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Shun freebies, avoid bankruptcy
The reckless spending of taxpayers’ money on ‘freebies’ is neither recognised policy/custom nor sanctioned in a court of law. Credit: DH File Photo Hearing a PIL seeking directions against ‘freebies’ on August 3, the Supreme Court sought suggestions on the composition of a committee that can go into the issue “dispassionately” and make recommendations. It gave a sense that it is for Parliament, besides the Election Commission, to take the initiative to enact a law on curbing freebies. The Union government’s standards of financial propriety clearly lays down that “no authority shall exercise its powers of sanctioning expenditure to pass an order which will be directly or indirectly to its advantage; and the expenditure from public moneys should not be...
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Financial discipline a must for states
The Centre has to crack the whip on growing trend of states going for excessive borrowings else it could lead to a major financial crisis In recent years, indiscriminate borrowings by entities of the state governments, leveraging guarantees, has raised alarm bells. In June, 2022, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) lambasted banks, mostly public sector banks (PSBs), for lending to such entities based on the escrow of the states’ future revenue streams or using collectorates and courts as security. The RBI sought a review of such lending practices by the bank boards and reported compliance by September, 2022. The Union Finance ministry was more emphatic, seeking an end to the practice. The warning is a follow up to a...
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India faces sharp fiscal deficit slippage
International crude and fertiliser prices disturbed Government’s budget calculations; welfare expenses are adding to fiscal stress The Modi government has taken a number of measures, including tax cuts and increase in subsidy, to give protection to consumers from the steep rise in international prices of fuel, fertilisers, and food. But it could come at a huge cost in terms of impairing the Centre’s ability to achieve the fiscal deficit (FD) target of 6.4 per cent of the gross domestic product (GDP) set for the current financial year (FY). Before analysing the numbers for the current FY, let us see how things panned out during 2021-22 when India was confronted with rising international prices of the aforementioned commodities. During 2021-22, thanks...
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Tax buoyancy is a good omen
Efforts to boost tax revenue will come to naught if expenses, particularly on ‘welfare schemes’, are allowed to grow in an unsustainable manner For years, the tax receipts of the Union Government have consistently fallen short of the target set in the respective year which together with the expenditure exceeding the target has led to fiscal slippage – a glamorous term for the fiscal deficit (FD). Against this dismal record in the past, 2021-22 will have the unique distinction of the tax collections – both direct and indirect – exceeding the target. The total direct tax collection net of refund as on March 16, 2022 stood at around Rs 1363,000 crore which is higher the budget estimate (BE) of Rs...
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Tax buoyancy – a good omen
For years, the tax receipts of Union government have consistently fallen short of the target set in the respective year which together with the expenditure exceeding the target has led to fiscal slippage – a glamorous term for the fiscal deficit or FD (excess of total expenditure over the total receipts). Against this dismal record in the past, 2021-22 will have the unique distinction of the tax collections – both direct and indirect – exceeding the target. The total direct tax collection (includes primarily personal income tax or PIT and corporate income tax or CIT) net of refund as on March 16, 2022 stood at around Rs 1363,000 crore which is higher the budget estimate (BE) of Rs 1100,000 crore...
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