Articles

Gas shock: India’s vulnerabilities

The Govt should maintain a reserve of gas equal to a percentage of annual use which can be used as buffer to meet demand at affordable price during crises The Ukraine war has exposed the vulnerabilities in India’s gas supply systems. Our demand for natural gas (NG) is around 54.6 billion cubic meter (bcm) of which nearly 50 percent is met from import as liquefied natural gas or LNG. Russia is the world’s second-largest producer of NG with a share of 10 percent. In total world export of gas, its contribution is even higher at 25 percent. Most of Russian gas goes to the European Union (EU) countries with the latter drawing 40 percent of their total NG supplies from...
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Fertiliser subsidy: Political will missing

In the Union Budget for 2022-23, the Modi government has allocated Rs 1,05,000 crore for fertiliser subsidy, which is Rs 35,000 crore less than the revised estimate (RE) for 2021-22 at Rs 1,40,000 crore. Fertiliser subsidy arises because the Centre wants manufacturers/imports to sell fertilisers to farmers at a low maximum retail price (MRP), unrelated to the cost of supply, which is much higher. In the case of urea, the difference is reimbursed to the manufacturers as a subsidy on a ‘unit-specific’ basis. In the case of phosphatic and potassic (P&K) fertilisers, it fixes ‘uniform’ subsidy on a per-nutrient basis for all manufacturers and importers. The three basic factors impacting subsidy are MRP, per unit cost of supply and the...
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Whether to resurrect LPG subsidy or not

The Govt should focus on reducing price (sans subsidy) by cutting import dependence, fostering competition by involving private entities and bringing it under GST The recent spurt in the price of LPG in the wake of Ukraine crisis has triggered a demand for resurrection of subsidy which the Narendra Modi government had stopped depositing in beneficiary’s accounts since June, 2020. Is the demand justified? By definition, subsidy on purchase of any given product is subvention or financial assistance provided by the state to a certain class of persons who cannot afford to pay the market-based or cost-plus price from their limited income. In case of LPG, the current price of a 14.2 kg cylinder is around Rs 2000 (in Delhi)....
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The war’s impact on our fertiliser industry

Had there been a free market scenario, the industry would have come under serious strain. But that is not to be as fertilisers are under control The crisis in Ukraine following invasion by Russia has sent shock waves through out the world economy. In India, even as the steep rise in energy import bill will affect almost all sectors of the economy, the impact on fertilizers will be more pronounced. At the outset, let us capture a few relevant facts. Despite prognostications by successive governments during the last four decades or so that India would become self-reliant in fertilizer availability and putting in place policies aimed at achieving the goal, even today, the country remains preponderantly dependent on imports for...
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Corporate governance — Sebi’s volte face

A reform measure cannot be held hostage to the whims and fancies of those who decide not to comply with the reform order Based on the recommendations of Uday Kotak committee on corporate governance (2018), the stock markets watchdog, Securities Exchange Board of India (SEBI) had asked listed companies to separate the positions of Chairperson and Managing Director (MD)/Chief Executive Officer (CEO). The requirement was mandatory. The companies were required to implement the order by April 2020. However, based on representations received from the industry, an additional two years was given for compliance. In April last year, SEBI chairman Ajay Tyagi goaded them to ensure that the April 2022 deadline is not missed. Now, that even this deadline is barely...
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Rationalising the nation’s direct taxes

The Government should rationalise direct taxes to address anomalies between PIT and corporate tax at one level and capital gains tax at another Ever since, the commencement of its second term, Modi Government has showered benevolence on the corporate sector by giving relief in income tax but when it comes to personal income tax (PIT), it has not matched the expectations. On September 20, 2019, Finance Minister (FM) Nirmala Sitharaman had announced steep reduction in the rate of corporate tax for “new entities” incorporated from October 1, 2019 in the manufacturing sector and start production by March 31, 2023 from the existing 25 percent to 15 percent. Such companies won’t have to pay minimum alternate tax (MAT). Furthermore, the tax...
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The Budget’s food subsidy conundrum

The subsidy currently covers 800 million and is meant for the poor. Heavily subsidised food is for the very poor. How can 2/3rd of Indians be very poor? In the Union Budget for 2022-23, the Modi government has allocated Rs 207,000 crore for food subsidy which is Rs 79,000 crore less than the actual expenditure of Rs 286,000 crore during 2021-22 as per the revised estimate (RE). Under the National Food Security Act (NFSA), 2013, the Union Government directs the Food Corporation of India (FCI) and other state agencies to procure food from the farmers at MSP (minimum support price) and organize its distribution to a mammoth population of 800 million people through an elaborate network of fair price shops...
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Delinking seller from marketplace

In 2020, the Department of Consumer Affairs (DoCA) in the Ministry of Consumer Affairs, Food and Public Distribution had issued the Consumer Protection (e-commerce) Rules under Section 101 of the Consumer Protection Act, 2019. The rules lay down the conditions with which e-commerce firms should comply. Amongst others, these bar affiliated entities from selling on e-commerce platforms and restrict ‘flash sales’ (discounts or promotions they offer for a short duration) and disallow the seller from using the name or brand associated with that of the marketplace e-commerce entity for the promotion of goods. Within a year, the government has proposed certain amendments to these rules in the form of Consumer Protection (e-commerce) (Amendment) Rules, 2021. These amendments include restricting business-to-business, or...
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Budget 2022-23: Avoid a debt trap

‘Demand recession’ is inevitable if Government does not reform taxation, subsidy administration, unshackle farmers and ruthlessly tackle corruption The Union Budget for 2022-23 provides for capital expenditure of Rs 750,000 crore which is a jump of over 35 percent from the budget estimate (BE) of Rs 554,000 crore for 2021-22 (revised estimate (RE)for the current year is Rs 604,000 crore which is more or less close to the BE when we exclude Rs 50,000 crore given to Air India Asset Holding Company Limited AIAHCL where the debt of now divested Air India resides). Considering that the BE for current year was 26 percent higher than the RE of Rs 439,000 crore during 2020-21, this sounds impressive. However, when seen in...
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Income inequalities: Tackle the root cause

Irrespective of the nature of business and sector affiliation, they are structured to result in concentration of income in the hands of owners According to the Oxfam report, “Inequality Kills’’, released ahead of the World Economic Forum’s Davos Agenda early this month, the collective wealth of India’s 100 richest people in 2021 hit a record high of `5700,000 crore ($775 billion) while the number of Indian billionaires grew from 102 to 142. During the pandemic, the wealth of these billionaires increased from `2300,000 crore ($313 billion) in March 2020 to `5300,000 crore ($719 billion) in November 2021. At the same time, the income of 84 percent of households declined and the share of the bottom half of the population in...
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