While there is no guarantee that the RR hike will tame inflation, we can’t rule out the risks to growth Normally, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) conducts a review once in every two months based on which the RBI makes policy announcements at the beginning of each of the following months viz. February, April, June, August, October, December. Deviating from this practice, in early May 2022, Governor Shaktikanta Das announced changes in the important monetary policy instruments. Das increased the policy repo rate (interest rate at which the RBI lends to banks) or RR from 4 per cent to 4.4 per cent. He also increased the cash reserve ratio (percentage of a bank’s total...
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Articles
Fuel tax cuts: Easier said than done
It would be fair to keep the fuel tax rates in a lower slab, say, 18 per cent, but the Centre and States would start wobbling at the very idea To rein in the inflationary pressure, on May 21, 2022, the Narendra Modi Government announced reduction in the central excise duty (CED) on petrol and diesel by `8 per litre and `6 per litre, respectively. The cuts are significant but, given the magnitude of the challenge, these won’t be enough. Let us do a fact check. In May 2014 (when Modi took charge), CED on petrol was `9.8 per liter and on diesel `3.8 per liter. By March, 2020 (this was when the Covid-19 pandemic struck), already the Government had...
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The policy flip-flop on wheat exports
Obtrusive controls on food supply and distribution are a major constraint on exports. They aren’t also good for India’s fiscal health In the backdrop of increase in international price of wheat (courtesy, Ukraine crisis) early this month, Prime Minister Narendra Modi, had exhorted that India can help meet the global requirements of food deficit countries, provided the World Trade Organisation (WTO) allows it. He also exuded confidence that this had created an opportunity for Indian farmers to increase their income. Even as stakeholders were gearing to undertake export with several of them having signed contracts, on May 13, 2022, the Director General of Foreign Trade (DGFT) put a ban on wheat export with ‘immediate’ effect. The exports under government-to-Government arrangements...
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Indian power sector is pushed to the brink
Among other things, free discoms from State control, allow them to set tariff for all consumers and permit private firms into the distribution business Faced with an acute power crisis caused amongst others by sudden spurt in power demand in this season, the Modi Government has fired all cylinders to tackle the most crucial of all bottlenecks in the way, namely coal which accounts for nearly 52 percent of total power generation capacity in the country. During April/May2022, the Union Power Ministry – using powers vested in the Government under Section 11 of the Electricity Act, 2003 – issued directions to (i) all imported coal-based plants (ICB) to operate and generate power to their full capacity and (ii) all generation...
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Strengthening IBC framework, really?
Faced with ballooning NPAs, the Modi government enacted the IBC in 2016 While putting on hold its plans to implement the so-called “fresh-start process” for indebted poor people under the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC), the government wants to first focus on bolstering the IBC architecture to yield quick resolution of toxic assets. The reference here is to the delay in completion of the corporate insolvency resolution process (CIRP) as well as the low amount realised by creditors from their non-performing assets (NPAs) — a fancy nomenclature for bad loans. Let us capture a few basics. Faced with ballooning NPAs, the Modi government enacted the IBC in 2016. This legislation overrides all other subsisting laws and gives a strong handle...
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Food politics hits subsidy reforms
The Government should look at ways for pruning subsidy. Indeed, there is an unprecedented scope for it The Union Government has extended the Pradhan Mantri Garib Kalyan Anna Yojana (PMGKAY) for a further period of six months till September 30, 2022. Having already spent over Rs 260,000 crore during the first five phases (the scheme has been in operation since April 2020, the fifth phase ended on March 31, 2022), it will need another Rs 80,000 crore during April – September, 2022. Is the extension justified? In March 2020, the Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman had announced the Scheme to mitigate the hardship suffered by people due to a major disruption in economic activity and resultant loss of jobs and income...
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Reining in fertilizer subsidy in India
From an already high of Rs 83,000 crore during 2019-20, the subsidy could cross Rs 200,000 crore during 2022-23. Fertilizer subsidy or payments made to manufacturers or importers to cover the excess of the cost of production/import and distribution over a low maximum retail price (MRP) – they are asked by the Union Government to charge from the farmers -has increased by leaps and bounds during the last three years. From an already high of Rs 83,000 crore during 2019-20, it increased to Rs 138,000 crore during 2020-21, Rs 162,000 crore during 2021-22 and could cross Rs 200,000 crore mark during 2022-23. Is there a way this escalating trend could be reined in? Subsidy payments are made under two broad...
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PSU privatisation: lock, stock and barrel
The Government should also unshackle the process of strategic disinvestment from bureaucratic red-tape The ministry of finance has barred public sector undertakings from bidding for other Central Public Sector Undertakings which are on the block for privatisation. The Department of Investment and Public Asset Management has stated: “As a general policy, PSUs (Central/ State/ Joint)/State Governments and Cooperative Societies controlled by the Governments are not permitted to participate in the strategic disinvestment of other PSUs as bidders unless otherwise specifically approved by the Central Government in public interest”. PSUs are undertakings in which the Centre/State Governments or jointly with central and/or State Governments have majority ownership (with shareholding of 51 percent or more) and control. If, the Government decides to...
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India’s ambitious wheat export plan could come under WTO lens
Amidst the Ukraine crisis, supplies of wheat from Russia and Ukraine have been disrupted, leading to a steep increase in its international price. In this backdrop, sitting on plenty of wheat stock, Prime Minister Narendra Modi has exhorted that India can help meet the global requirements, provided the World Trade Organisation (WTO) allows it. The caveat merits serious consideration. India runs a mammoth programme of public stockholding (PSH) for food security purposes. Under it, agencies of the government like the Food Corporation of India (FCI) buy agri-produce such as wheat, rice/paddy, coarse cereals, from farmers at the minimum support price (MSP) and distribute at a heavily subsidised price of Rs 1/2/3 per kg through a network of fair price shops...
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Bolstering IBC architecture – a joke
After withdrawal of RBI powers to navigate NPA accounts for resolution under IBC, and removing banks’ compulsion to go to NCLT, the IBC process is dysfunctional While, putting on hold its plans to implement the so-called “fresh-start process” for indebted poor people under the (IBC) Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (it provides for debt waiver up to Rs 35,000 to the poor who don’t own houses, earn up to Rs 60,000 a year and have assets up to Rs 20,000 each),the Government wants to first focus on bolstering the IBC architecture to yield quick resolution of toxic assets while preventing unscrupulous elements from gaming the system. The reference here is to the delay in completion of the corporate insolvency resolution process...
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